Jeff Krumpelman, CFA®
A new Fed, familiar market dynamics

A new Fed, familiar market dynamics

The S&P 500 finished June down 2.9%, but still closed the second quarter with a very healthy 13% return1. Through the first half of the year, the index has gained 8%, keeping it well on pace toward our year-end price target. As we’ve discussed throughout the year,...

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Earnings drive the rally as risks linger

Earnings drive the rally as risks linger

The S&P 500 rebounded sharply in April, rising 10.5% and bringing year-to-date returns to 5.7%. Looking across major indices, emerging markets and small cap stocks outperformed the S&P 500, while developed international equities posted solid, albeit less...

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Volatility returns as global risks rise

Volatility returns as global risks rise

The S&P 500 finished the month of March down 5.0%, bringing year-to-date losses to 4.3%. There were very few places to hide, as 10-year Treasury yields rose from 3.96% to 4.32%, gold declined 11%, and international equities underperformed their domestic...

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Risk awareness and diversification 2.0 taking root

Risk awareness and diversification 2.0 taking root

The S&P 500 finished the month down 0.8%, bringing year-to-date returns to 0.7%1. During our Crystal Ball Outlook, we outlined 2026 as the year of “Risk Awareness and Diversification 2.0 (RAD),” calling for broader leadership across the market, not just within the...

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Trick or treat: A mixed bag

Trick or treat: A mixed bag

October could best be described as a mixed bag: some good, some bad, but certainly eventful. The month’s headlines and market reactions once again reinforced our Clear Air Turbulence theme, as investors navigated through some spooky developments: renewed government...

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