October could best be described as a mixed bag: some good, some bad, but certainly eventful. The month’s headlines and market reactions once again reinforced our Clear Air Turbulence theme, as investors navigated through some spooky developments: renewed government...

Mark Twain once said that September is a particularly difficult month to invest in stocks. Of course, he went on to comment jokingly that the other 11 difficult months included all other 30-day periods that comprise the calendar. Well, not true this September. The...

The current market set-up and drama surrounding the Federal Reserve (the Fed) is center stage right now and about as Shakespearean as it gets. In this unfolding monetary policy play, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is seemingly cast in the role of Hamlet. Taking some...

On July 16, capital markets went through a period of whipsaw trading as speculation emerged that President Donald Trump might “fire” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Later that day, the president stated he wasn’t going to remove Powell unless he found “cause.”...

No doubt about it, the market is exhibiting some mojo as we close out the first half of 2025. The S&P 500 had an outstanding June, with a total return of roughly 5% for the month. This was on the heels of a more than 6% total return in May, which made for one of...

“Knowledge speaks, but wisdom listens,” said legendary guitarist Jimi Hendrix—a fitting reminder as we reflect on the wild ride that has been the first half of 2025. It turns out we were quite serious when we discussed the likely virulent swings in policy rhetoric out...

As management theorist and author Peter Drucker said, “The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence, it is to act with yesterday’s logic.” April saw a whirlwind of surprising news flow causing investors to suffer a commensurate roller coaster ride...

Stock price behavior felt a little crazy in March, sort of like the madness of a recent college basketball tournament, as the S&P 500 index declined in price by roughly 5.8% for the month and the tech laden Nasdaq composite index price was off roughly 8.2%.1 It...

2025 has simply been boring and status quo, right? There’s not much going on in the world or in the headlines. Not! We want to make sure you are awake as you start to read this. As we anticipated, the amount of news flowing out of Washington on the policy front this...

I feel better about some of my past economic calls that haven’t panned out. Theodore Roosevelt’s quote—“The only man who never makes a mistake is the man who never does anything”—gives me some degree of solace. My mistakes show that I am at least willing to make a...